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Dane said
It is fine for Anwar Abdulrahman to attack a British journalist, who called on Shaikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum to stand down as Ruler of Dubai.
However, both Mr Abdulrahman and the journalist are missing the point: it really doesn’t matter who is in charge of Dubai as there is nothing anybody can do to rescue the place from disaster.
Everyone seems to be saying that the media are exaggerating Dubai’s problems, but the current issue about not repaying debts is only a tiny part of the problem. Dubai’s total reported debt of $80 billion has all been spent. It’s all gone.
There is no large bundle of cash hidden away in Shaikh Mohammed’s safe, ready to be rolled out if the need arises.
Dubai therefore needs a huge injection of fresh capital merely to get all the projects which have been put on hold started again.
Knowing what we have found out in the last two weeks, who would trust Dubai again with fresh loans?
Abu Dhabi will not lend money to Dubai, because it knows Dubai will never be able to repay it.
This leaves a fire sale of assets as Dubai’s only chance. A merger of Etihad with Emirates (which will actually be a takeover by Etihad) will be just a small but obvious early step to take.
Investors who have seen their capital disappear like sand in the breeze will never trust Dubai with their money again. Nor will investment bankers and corporate financiers.
If you still have investments in Dubai, write them off. Nobody will buy them back from you, as they will continue to depreciate in value.
Dubai is a busted flush. It’s a shame, as it was a wonderful and exciting place to live and work for a few years. But that’s all gone now, and its future is as nothing more than a tourist curiosity, with bus loads of visitors being taken out into the desert to take pictures of ‘unfinished Dubailand’, ‘unfinished Bawadi’, etc.